A lens, not a leaderboard
The word trend can be misleading. It suggests a leaderboard of whatever is loudest this season. That is not how Nicole Junkermann uses it. For her, watching trends is less about ranking the latest releases and more about noticing the deeper currents that keep pulling in the same direction over years. A trend worth following is one that would still matter if the excitement around it went quiet tomorrow.
This note gathers a handful of those currents. They are not predictions of a single winner, and they are not a tip sheet. They are the shifts that keep showing up across the companies she reads and backs, viewed through the same calm lens that runs through the whole notebook. The aim is to see clearly, not to keep score.
Practical artificial intelligence
The first and largest current is the move from artificial intelligence as a spectacle to artificial intelligence as a quiet utility. The early excitement was about what models could do in a demonstration. The more interesting story now is about where they actually settle into everyday work, doing useful things so reliably that people stop noticing them.
Nicole Junkermann watches for exactly this shift from impressive to dependable. A model that can do something remarkable once is interesting. A model that does something useful every day, accurately and with a human able to check it, is valuable. The trend she follows is not raw capability but the steady process of making that capability trustworthy and ordinary. This is the same theme she sets out in the note on the technologies shaping the next decade.
Artificial intelligence in health
A current close to her heart is the steady application of artificial intelligence to health. This is not a single breakthrough but a slow accumulation of help: better reading of medical data, faster research, software that gives clinicians more time with patients. Her support for Owkin, along with her former role on the United Kingdom's HealthTech Advisory Board, keeps her close to this work.
What she watches for here is restraint as much as ambition. The most promising health technology is honest about its limits, careful with private information, and built to support clinicians rather than replace them. The trend that matters is not the boldest claim but the quiet, trustworthy progress that genuinely improves care, which she explores at length in her notes on AI in healthcare.
Fintech that widens access
In financial technology, the trend Nicole Junkermann finds most compelling is the one that widens access and clarity. Her association with companies such as Revolut and Lendable reflects an interest in tools that bring more people into the modern economy and make its rules easier to understand. The exciting frontier here is not novelty for its own sake but reach: who can now take part who could not before.
Increasingly, fintech and artificial intelligence are growing together, with tools that help people make sense of their own finances rather than simply moving numbers around. The current worth watching is the one that treats trust as the product and access as the goal, rather than chasing complexity. As ever, the test is whether a real person is better served.
Frontier deep technology
Further out sits the slow, ambitious world of deep technology: space, advanced computing, new energy, novel materials, the harder edges of biology. Nicole Junkermann's association with SpaceX captures the spirit of this current, where progress is measured in years and the payoff, when it comes, can reshape what is possible for everyone.
These are not trends in the fast-moving sense. They are deep tides. Watching them means holding a long horizon and paying attention to genuine scientific and engineering progress rather than to noise. For a fuller picture, the journal has companion notes on deep tech explained and on what she looks for in a deep tech company.
The human side
The last current is easy to overlook because it is not a technology at all. It is the set of human skills that let people use new tools well: attention, judgement, clear thinking, the ability to ask a better question. As the tools grow more capable, these skills become more important, not less, and Nicole Junkermann watches their place in our working lives as closely as she watches the technology itself.
This is why the journal keeps a section on human skills alongside its technology notes. The trends that matter most are not only about what machines can do, but about how thoughtfully people choose to use them. To follow the rest of this thinking, you can return to the work of Nicole Junkermann on the home page.
- Practical artificial intelligence becoming a quiet utility.
- Careful, honest applications of AI in health.
- Fintech that widens access and clarity.
- Frontier deep technology with a long horizon.
- Human skills that keep pace with the tools.
Watching at the right pace
One last point ties these currents together: the pace at which you watch them matters as much as what you watch. A trend looks very different from one week to the next than it does across several years, and most of the confusion around new technology comes from looking at it on the wrong timescale. Nicole Junkermann deliberately reads these shifts slowly, checking whether a current is deepening or simply making noise.
This matters because the early, loud phase of a technology is the least reliable guide to its future. The currents that endure tend to grow quietly, settling into everyday use long after the first wave of attention has moved on. By watching at a calm pace, she gives each trend time to prove itself in behaviour rather than in headlines, and she avoids the trap of mistaking a busy moment for a lasting direction.
The reward for this patience is clarity. Read at the right pace, the picture stops being a blur of competing announcements and becomes a small number of genuine, durable shifts. Those are the currents worth following, and they are the ones that keep their place in this journal across the year. For the longer version of this habit, see the note on reading the future of technology.
Frequently asked questions
What technology trends is Nicole Junkermann watching?
Nicole Junkermann is watching practical artificial intelligence, AI applied to healthcare, fintech that widens access, frontier deep technology, and the human skills people need to use these tools well.
How does Nicole Junkermann separate trends from hype?
Nicole Junkermann separates trends from hype by asking whether a technology solves a genuinely hard problem and whether people would choose it without the excitement. She gives more weight to quiet, durable adoption than to loud launches.
Does Nicole Junkermann focus on one technology?
No. Nicole Junkermann follows a connected map of fields, including artificial intelligence, healthtech, biotech, fintech and deep technology, and pays special attention to where they overlap.